Southaven, Mississippi 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

120
FXUS64 KMEG 051128 AAA
AFDMEG

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Memphis TN
628 AM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 627 AM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

- Generally benign weather is anticipated Sunday through the end
  of next week.

- Temperatures will be near to slightly below normal early in the
  week, gradually warming through the work week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(Tonight through next Saturday)
Issued at 1019 PM CDT Sat Apr 4 2026

A cold frontal boundary continues to slowly cross the Mid-South
at this hour with a large stratiform rain shield east of the
Mississippi River. As the front continues to slowly dive
southeast, drier and cooler conditions will filter in for the
Easter holiday. All precipitation will come to an end by sunrise
at the very latest and temperatures will warm into the 60s.

Once precipitation comes to an end, dry conditions will prevail
until the end of the work week and the focus will be on
temperature and dewpoint trends. The Canadian air mass will
encompass the region by Monday morning enhancing radiational
cooling, which could lead to a light frost across northwest TN,
with the LREF only displaying a 15% chance of temperatures less
than 36F. Winds are expected to go calm for Monday morning, which
could have temperatures trend cooler, so this is something to
keep an eye on. Monday and Tuesday will be exceptionally dry in
terms of dewpoints resulting in RH values falling below 30%.
While some areas received beneficial rainfall, and winds are not
expected to be too gusty, please use caution when burning with
low relative humidity values and head to any local burn bans.

High temperatures will hover around normal to slightly below
through midweek with cool mornings. Surface high pressure will be
the dominating feature of this forecast until Wednesday when the
region will reside on the back side of the high and southerly
flow returns. WAA will return and will allow temperatures to
creep back above normal with temperatures being 10-15 degrees
above normal by the weekend. Of course with the return of
moisture, showers and thunderstorms chances will also return to
the forecast for the weekend. Long term guidance still has many
discrepancies on weekend rainfall chances, so for now, be sure to
enjoy the cooler and dry weather.

DNM

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 627 AM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

A dry polar airmass will bring VFR to the Midsouth over the next
30 hours. Gusty north winds will be the primary weather impact
through late this afternoon.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1019 PM CDT Sat Apr 4 2026

A dry air mass will move into the area with MinRHs around
30 percent. Elevated fire weather concerns may materialize Sunday
through Tuesday with warming temperatures. Some areas received
beneficial rainfall and may prohibit higher concerns until
moisture begins to return by late week.

&&


.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$

PUBLIC FORECAST...DNM
AVIATION...PWB